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Pledge Pipeline

Dear Reader                                                                                                                         6. July 2016 update

Our Pledgepipeline includes the Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) that are submitted to the UNFCCC. UNEP DTU updates the INDC & PledgePipeline on this web-site as soon as new INDCs are submitted. Following the Paris Agreement we have not organized the countries according to Annex I /non-Annex I anymore. Now we use the regions. 

19 Parties with 0.2% of the total GHG emissions have now ratified the Paris Agreement.

The total number of INDC/NDC submissions are 162 (189 countries). Only 8 UN countries have not submitted yet: Kosovo, Libya, Nicaragua, North Korea, Palestine, Syria, Timor-Leste and Uzbekistan.

50% of the submissions support an international carbon market.

The requested support in Billion US$ until 2030 for Mitigation is (total of 421 Billion US$ for the 54 submissions with data) and for Adaptation (total of 615 Billion US$ for the 61 submissions with data). If we scale these requested support values up to the total population in the non-Annex-I countries, we arrive at an annual need for international support of 148 Billion US$ for Mitigation and 130 Billion US$ for Adaptation.

In column BZ-CC in the "GHG Emission by country" sheet we have added the information on the population in all the countries for 2010 and 2030 in order to calculate the GHG emissions per capita in the countries in these years. If we take the UNEP GAP report 2915 statement that the total mission should be below 42 GtCO2e in 2030 and the UN projection of 8.4 Billion people in 2030, we find that the average emission in 2030 should be below 4.98 ton CO2e. 42 INDCs (marked with red color) of 120 with absolute targets have larger emissions in 2030 than this value.

The UNEP Emission Gap Report 2015 was published 4. April, see http://uneplive.org/theme/index/13#indcs

Our GACMO model, which can be used to calculate the BAU projection and the mitigation part of the INDC can be downloaded from both the www.cdmpipeline.org and the www.namapipeline.org sites.

Non-state actors:

The Climate Initiatives Platform (CIP) has now been transferred from Ecofys to the UNEP DTU Partnership. The web-site is accessible as before at http://climateinitiativesplatform.org. CIP now contains 242 International Cooperative Initiatives after the latest update at Ecofys. We will continue the updates and improvements of the database.

We have developed a new Pipeline based on the information in CIP. This CitiesandregionsPipeline can be downloaded from this site and shows the GHG reduction commitments from cities and regions. These commitment now covers about 9% of the global population in 2010, and gives an extra reduction of 1.1 GtCO2e compared to the conditional NDCs.

We have developed a new Pipeline called CitiesAndRegionsPipeline. It can be downloaded from the CIP and the Pledgepipeline sites. It is an extension of our NDC & Pledgepipeline with all the commitments made by cities and regions in the ICIs in the CIP.

Joergen Fenhann

Danish Technical University (DTU) (formerly called the UNEP Risoe Centre)

Department for Management Engineering

UN City  Marmorvej 51, 2100 Copenhagen Ø, Denmark

E-mail: jqfe@dtu.dk

Phone: +45 4020 2789

DOWNLOADS:  INDC & Pledges Pipeline

DOWNLOADS: Cities and Regions Pledges Pipeline