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Issues: Climate change
Stratospheric ozone depletion
Indicators: Energy use per unit of GDP*
CO2 emissions, total
CO2 emissions, per capita**
Consumption of CFCs***
Mountain glacier mass balance
* MDG indicator no. 27 under Target 9,
Goal 7
** MDG indicator no. 28(a) under Target 9, Goal 7
*** MDG indicator no. 28(b) under Target 9, Goal 7
| Figure
1: Energy use (kilogram oil equivalent) per US$1 000 Gross
Domestic Product (GDP) by region and global, 1990–2000 |
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Energy use
The amount of energy used to produce one unit of gross domestic
product (GDP) indicates the extent to which economies are efficient
in their consumption of supplied energy. Differences over time
and across regions reflect natural conditions, structural changes
in the economy, changes in the energy efficiency of particular
sectors and differences in fuel mixes. In principle, the lower
the ratio the better the energy efficiency. Energy use per unit
of GDP has decreased in all regions of the world (Figure 1), although
there are not enough data to draw a trend line for the West Asia
region. |
Carbon dioxide
emissions
Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions account for the largest share of
anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases associated with global
warming (IPCC 2001), and may therefore, be considered as an indicator
of human pressure on the global climatic system.
Total CO2 emissions continue to rise in most regions (Figure 2).
In Europe, the emissions have decreased slightly since 1990, partly
because of implementation of stricter regulations in the energy
sector, but also due to economic downturn in the Central and Eastern
European countries. Per capita CO2 emissions show a general stabilization
or slight decline in most regions, with the highest average for
North America (Figure 3). The increase for West Asia around 1991
is mainly due to emissions related to the 1990–1991 Gulf
War (Marland and others 2003).
Figure
2: Total carbon dioxide emissions (million
tonnes of CO2) by region and global, 1989–2000 |
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Figure
3: Total carbon dioxide emissions (tonnes
of CO2) per capita by region and global, 1989–2000 |
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| Figure
4: Consumption of chlorofluorocarbons (tonnes of ozone depleting
potential) by region and global, 1988–2002 |
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Consumption of CFCs
The depletion of the stratospheric ozone layer is to a great extent
brought about by chemicals known as ozone-depleting substances
(ODS). The most widely used of these are the group of chlorofluorocarbons
(CFCs). Emission of CFCs ultimately leads to higher concentrations
of chlorine in the atmosphere, resulting in the destruction of
ozone molecules and a thinner ozone layer.
The consumption of CFCs is decreasing in most regions (Figure
4), following successful implementation of the Montreal Protocol
on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer (UNEP 2003). It is
expected that the gradual restoration of the ozone layer will
take place, but over several decades, provided that control measures
under the Montreal Protocol are adhered to by all countries. |
| Figure
6: Glacier mass balance (metres), global average, 1980–2001 |
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Mountain glacier mass balance
The global climate shows signs of change, as witnessed by higher
average temperatures during the last years, leading to melting
ice caps and the retreat of mountain glaciers around the world
(IPCC 2001). The yearly mass balance of a representative set of
major mountain glaciers could, therefore, reflect the pace of
global warming. The yearly balance as measured at the glacier
surface represents the thickness change of the glacier in terms
of volume and area. Between 1980–2001, the thickness of
30 major mountain glaciers (Figure 5) has decreased by an average
of six metres (Figure 6) (WGMS 2003). Only Scandinavia has witnessed
an increase, which is probably related to changes in precipitation
patterns. The flow of glacier tongues reacts with a time delay
of several years or even decades compared to climatic changes.
The average retreat process of mountain glaciers is, therefore,
expected to continue rather dramatically in the coming decades
if the current trend in global warming remains unchanged (Haeberli
and Holzhauser 2003). |
| Figure
5: Location of glacier measurements |
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