Error processing SSI file
International Day for the Preservation of the Ozone Layer 16th September, 1998

For use of the media only;
not an official document.

PRESS BACKGROUNDER

Basic facts and data on the science and politics of ozone protection

The Ozone Layer

Ozone molecules (O3) consist of three oxygen atoms. This poisonous gas is extremely rare in the atmosphere, representing just three out of every 10 million molecules. Ninety per cent of ozone exists in the upper atmosphere, or stratosphere, between 10 and 50 km (6 - 30 miles) above the earth. Ozone at ground-level, at the bottom of the troposphere, is a harmful pollutant resulting from automobile exhausts and other sources.

Figure 1 - Ozone Distribution in the Atmosphere

The ozone layer absorbs most of the harmful ultraviolet-B radiation from the sun. It also completely screens out lethal UV-C radiation. The ozone shield is thus essential to life as we know it. Depleting the ozone layer allows more UV-B to reach the earth. More UV-B means more melanoma and non-melanoma skin cancers, more eye cataracts, weakened immune systems, reduced plant yields, damage to ocean eco-systems and reduced fishing yields, affects on animals, and more damage to plastics.

Scientific concern started in 1970, when Prof. Paul Crutzen pointed out the possibility that nitrogen oxides from fertilizers and supersonic aircraft might deplete the ozone layer. In 1974, Professors F. Sherwood Rowland and Mario J. Molina recognized that when CFCs finally break apart in the atmosphere and release chlorine atoms they cause ozone depletion. (Bromine atoms released by Halons have the same effect.) The three scientists received the Nobel Prize for Chemistry in 1995 for their pioneering work.

The ozone layer over the Antarctic has steadily weakened since measurements started in the early 1980s. The problem is worst over this part of the globe due to the extremely cold atmosphere and the presence of polar stratospheric clouds. The land area under the ozone-depleted atmosphere increased steadily to more than 20 million sq. km in the early 1990s and has varied between 20 and 25 million sq. km since then. In the Antarctic spring (August to November) of 1997, the area of the ozone hole exceeded 24 million sq. km, more than twice the area of Europe, and covered some populated areas of the Southern hemisphere. While no hole has appeared elsewhere, the Arctic spring has seen the ozone layer there thin by up to 30%, while the depletion over Europe and other high latitudes varies between 5 and 30%.

Figure 2 - Measurements of Ozone and Reactive Chlorine from a Flight Into the Antarctic Ozone Hole, 1987

Adopting and Ratifying the Vienna Convention and its Montreal Protocol

The issue of ozone depletion was first discussed by the Governing Council of the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) in 1976. A meeting of experts on the ozone layer was convened in 1977, after which UNEP and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) set up the Coordinating Committee of the Ozone Layer (CCOL) to periodically assess ozone depletion. Inter-governmental negotiations for an international agreement to phase out ozone-depleting substances started in 1981 and concluded with the adoption of the Vienna Convention for the Protection of the Ozone Layer in March 1985.

The 1985 Vienna Convention encourages intergovernmental cooperation on research, systematic observation of the ozone layer, monitoring of CFC production, and the exchange of information. The Convention commits its Parties to take general measures to protect human health and the environment against human activities that modify the ozone layer. The Vienna Convention is a framework agreement and does not contain legally binding controls or targets.

The Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer was adopted in September 1987. Following the discovery of the Antarctic ozone hole in late 1985, governments recognized the need for stronger measures to reduce the production and consumption of a number of CFCs (CFC-11, 12, 113, 114, and 115). The Protocol was designed so that the phase-out schedules could be revised on the basis of periodic scientific and technological assessments. Following such assessments, the Protocol was adjusted to accelerate the phase-out schedules in London in 1990, Copenhagen in 1992, Vienna in 1995 and Montreal in 1997. It has also been amended to introduce other kinds of control measures and to add new controlled substances to the list; the 1990 London Amendment included additional CFCs (CFC-13, 111, 112, 211, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217), several Halons (1211, 1301, 2402), carbon tetrachloride, and methyl chloroform, while the 1992 Copenhagen Amendment added methyl bromide, HBFCs, and HCFCs.

Governments are not legally bound until they ratify the Protocol as well as the Amendments. Unfortunately, while most governments have ratified the Protocol, ratification of the amendments and their stronger control measures lag behind. As of 4th August 1998, the Ozone Agreements had been ratified by countries as follows:

Figure 3 - Ratification Status of the Montreal Protocol and its Amendments as of 4th August, 1998.

The Chemicals And Their Phase-Out Schedules

Ninety-five chemicals are presently controlled by the Montreal Protocol, including:

The phase-out schedules for developed countries are as follows:

Developing countries have a grace period before they must start their phase-out schedules. This reflects the recognition that developed countries are responsible for the bulk of total emissions into the atmosphere and that they have more financial and technological resources for adopting replacements. The developing country schedules are as follows:

The phase-out schedules cover both the production and the consumption of the target substances (except the HCFC schedules, which apply only to consumption). However, even after phase out both developed and developing countries are permitted to produce limited quantities of most substances in order to meet the basic domestic needs of developing countries. In addition, the Parties may agree on exemptions for essential uses for which no alternatives have yet been identified, e.g. the use of CFCs in metered dose inhalers for asthma. Production is defined as total production minus amounts destroyed and used as chemical feedstock and process agents. Consumption is production plus imports minus exports. Trade in recycled and used chemicals is not included in the calculation of consumption in order to encourage recovery, reclamation and recycling.

What Have Been The Results So Far?

Without the Protocol, by the year 2050 ozone depletion would have risen to at least 50% in the northern hemisphere's mid latitudes and 70% in the southern mid latitudes, about 10 times worse than current levels. The result would have been a doubling of UV-B radiation reaching the earth in the northern mid latitudes and a quadrupling in the south. The amount of ozone-depleting chemicals in the atmosphere would have been five times greater. The implications of this would have been horrendous: 19 million more cases of non- melanoma cancer, 1.5 million cases of melanoma cancer, 130 million more cases of eye cataracts.

Figure 4 - Projections of What would have Happened without the Protocol.

In 1986 the total consumption of CFCs world-wide was about 1.1 million tonnes; by 1996 this had come down to about 160,000 tonnes. It has been calculated that without the Montreal Protocol global consumption would have reached about 3 million tonnes in the year 2010 and 8 million tonnes in 2060, resulting in a 50% depletion of the ozone layer by 2035. The bulk of the 1986 total, or about one million tonnes, was consumed in industrialized countries, but by 1996 these countries consumed just 10,000 tonnes (for exemptions approved by the Parties). The developing countries have increased their consumption by about 30% over the last 10 years. Twenty of the 120 developing countries account for more than 90% of this group's consumption, and of these 20, key countries including Argentina, Chile, the Islamic Republic of Iran, Republic of Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, the Syrian Arab Republic, Thailand, and Venezuela had already started to reduce CFC consumption as of 1996.

Figure 5.1 - Worldwide Production of CFCs

Figure 5.2 - Worldwide Consumption of CFCs

Scientists predict that ozone depletion will reach its worst point during the next few years and then gradually decline until the ozone layer returns to normal around 2150, assuming that the Montreal Protocol is fully implemented. Despite declining CFC emissions, stratospheric concentrations are still increasing (although they are declining in the lower atmosphere) because long-lived CFCs emitted in earlier years continue to rise to the stratosphere. The atmospheric abundance of certain CFCs, (notably CFC-11, CFC-113), carbon-tetrachloride, and methyl chloroform is declining. Concentrations of HCFCs and other substitutes are of course increasing.

The success of ozone protection has been possible because science and industry have been able to develop and commercialize alternatives to ozone-depleting chemicals. Developed countries ended the use of CFCs faster and with less cost than was originally anticipated. Substitutes have proved particularly important in electronics, and the foam-blowing sector has made use of water, carbon-dioxide, and hydrocarbons, as well as HCFCs. The refrigeration and air-conditioning sector has largely used HCFCs as alternatives, but new equipment is increasingly using replacements with zero ozone-depleting potential, including hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), ammonia, and (in the greenfreeze refrigerator) hydrocarbons.

Consumers are recycling existing Halons to gain time for developing substitutes for fire fighting. Other extinguishing agents such as carbon dioxide, water, foam, and dry powder are now widely used. Alternative approaches, such as good fire prevention practices, use of fire-resistant materials, and appropriate designs for buildings have significantly reduced the need for Halon systems, and total phase-out was achieved smoothly by 1994.

Industrialized countries are concentrating their phase-out efforts on HCFCs and methyl bromide. They are trying to ensure that HCFCs are used only as direct replacements where other more environmentally suitable alternatives are not available. HCFCs were critical for meeting the early CFC phase-out goals but are generally considered much less important for new equipment because they do have some ozone-depleting potential.

The Multilateral Fund and the GEF

The Multilateral Fund is part of the financial mechanism established under the Protocol in June 1990. It pays the agreed incremental costs incurred by developing countries in phasing out their consumption and production of ozone-depleting substances. It is administered by an Executive Committee of seven developed and seven developing countries chosen by the Parties every year. The Fund's allocation was $240 million for 1991-93, $455 million for 1994-96, and $465 million for 1996-99. The replenishment for the three-year period of 2000-2 will be negotiated in late 1999. The Multilateral Fund has thus far dispensed around $768 million for projects and capacity building.

Figure 6 - Multilateral Ozone Fund: Cumulative Funds Approved and CFC Tonnes Phased Out.

The Global Environment Facility (GEF) was established by the world community to help developing countries deal with ozone depletion, climate change, biodiversity, and international waters. GEF supports projects and activities for phasing-out ozone-depleting substances in countries with economies in transition, as these Central and East European countries are not eligible for Multilateral Fund assistance. To date, US$111 million has been approved by GEF to assist the following countries: Belarus, Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, the Russian Federation, Slovakia, Slovenia, and Ukraine.

The Remaining Challenges

The Protocol has been hailed as an extraordinary success so far, but there is no room for complacency because:

Ratification is incomplete. Twenty-four countries have not yet ratified the ozone treaties, and many more have not yet ratified the London and Copenhagen Amendments.

Some countries with economies in transition are having difficulty complying with the Montreal Protocol. This is due to the economic recession and political transition since 1989. The Russian Federation and a few other countries admitted in 1996 that they will be unable to follow the phase-out time-table for CFCs. They have, however, promised to complete the phase-out by the year 2000, if sufficient assistance is forthcoming. The Parties asked the GEF to provide this assistance, and it has thus far disbursed $111 million to 11 countries. In addition, the World Bank is raising $25 million from donors to buy out the production facilities in the Russian Federation and to close them down by the year 2000.

Illegal trade has increased. Although all new CFCs are now banned in industrialized countries, millions CFC-dependent refrigerators, automobile air conditioners, and other equipment are still in service. Alternatives are available to service this equipment, but they can be more expensive. Recycled CFCs may be used to maintain existing equipment, and it is difficult to distinguish between new and recycled CFCs. In addition, while most consumption is forbidden, industrialized countries still produce some CFCs in order to meet their own essential uses and to supply developing countries, as permitted by the Protocol. In the US, CFCs are heavily taxed and the market price is high. As a result, some traders illegally sell perhaps 30,000 tonnes of new CFCs in the industrialized countries every year in the guise of recycled substances or as exports to developing countries. Smugglers are subject to imprisonment and heavy fines, and national licensing systems are being established to better track imports and exports.

The potential for methyl bromide to be adopted in more applications and by more countries is worrying. Some countries imposed controls on this chemical because of its toxicity even before the concern about its ozone depletion potential first arose. However, since many countries have not yet ratified the 1992 Copenhagen Amendment which introduced controls on methyl bromide there is a risk that consumption could spread to more countries and to more uses than at present.

Atmospheric concentrations of Halons continue to increase even though production ended in 1994. This is because Halons in existing fire-fighting equipment get emitted whenever there is a fire. This is worrying because the bromine contained in Halons is 50 times more efficient than the chlorine in CFCs in depleting ozone. An expert panel is exploring the implications of de-commissioning existing Halons systems and destroying the Halons they contain.

Figure 7.1 - Measured Atmospheric Concentration of Halon-1211 at Cape Grim, Tasmania.

Figure 7.2 - Measured Atmospheric Concentration of Halon-1301 at Cape Grim, Tasmania.

Developing countries must start phasing out CFCs, Halons and carbon tetrachloride from July 1999. Countries in Asia and Latin America in particular have been increasing their consumption due to their high rates of economic growth and must now arrest this growth and begin reversing it. While consumption levels in the developed countries have been much higher on a per capita and total basis, the Montreal Protocol can only succeed if the 80% of world living in developing countries successfully phases out despite their economic growth. The Multilateral Fund will play an essential role in ensuring that this happens.

A large number of used CFC-based refrigerators are being exported to developing countries by countries that have phased out CFCs. These sales could make the future CFC phase out by developing countries more difficult by stimulating a large demand for CFCs to maintain this equipment.

CFCs are being replaced by HFCs, which have a large global warming potential. The Kyoto Protocol on climate change has included HFCs in the basket of six gases whose emissions are to be reduced by the industrialised countries. Are the two global protocols sending confusing signals? Does the Kyoto Protocol hinder the implementation of the Montreal Protocol?

Figure 8 - Worldwide Production of CFCs, HCFCs and HFCs

Lessons of the Montreal Protocol

The Montreal Protocol offers many lessons that could be applied to solving other global environmental issues:

Note to Journalists:

This backgrounder was updated in August 1998. Official documents and other information is available via the Internet at /ozone or at http://www.unep.ch/ozone. The Ozone Secretariat is based in Nairobi. For interviews or additional information, contact Robert Bisset in Nairobi at tel. (+254-2) 623084, fax. (+254-2) 623692, e-mail robert.bisset@unep.org,; Michael Williams in Geneva at tel. (+41-22) 917 8242, fax (+41-22) 797 3464, e-mail mwilliams@unep.ch; or Jim Sniffen in New York at (+1-212) 963 8098, fax (+1-212) 963 8193, e-mail sniffenj@un.org.


[ Ozone Day Main Page | Ozone Safe Products | Ozone Secretariat - Nairobi | Ozone Secretariat - Geneva (Mirror Site) ]

Error processing SSI file